I recall my first flight out of the country on our national carrier
in the early 1990’s. I had just won a prestigious professional
fellowship in Canada, but I had to spend a few days in London. I had
what was then an OK ticket. Technically, it implied I could walk right
into the aircraft and to my seat.
The reality was, however, a nightmare. More persons than available
seats had Ok tickets. All wanted to fly out that Sunday morning. A melee
was inevitable. In spite of our formal – some had flamboyant –
dressings and the retinue of family and friends on hand to say goodbye,
we knew the journey had no guarantee. Some people would return that
morning to their homes. Families and friends reined in their farewells.
Rather they joined the travellers in the many queues to secure boarding
passes. The lines formed and collapsed repeatedly as though a human
parody of the pack of cards.
I was lucky to secure one, thanks to a relative who quickly sensed
the formation of a new line and took her place in the front. Needless to
say, after securing my ticket, the line tumbled over.
That was the story of the Nigeria Airways. It was also that way in
local travels. Travellers waxed into sprinters, and if your flight was
called and you warbled, it was hard luck. Wait another time.
The Nigeria Airways was a failure and a sad reminder about how
government can ruin a great product.
Nigeria Airways also blossomed in
an age state-run enterprises when the current thought was government
monopoly. Socialism was the bride of theorists and idealists.
But the experience was one of corruption. Government bigwigs
subverted protocol and obtained OK tickets. Business moguls also waded
in and, of course, staff took advantage to make a killing. Nepotism, of
course, had its pride of place.
The nightmare seems to be coming back, it seems. The Ahmed Joda
committee has recommended a return to the Nigeria Airways model,
according to news reports. It will imply merging the existing airlines,
and bring them under a national carrier. It is a return to the past of
failure.
“To stumble twice over a stone,” warned Cicero, “is a proverbial
disgrace.” It is like taking the Titanic back to the Ice field, and
expecting a miracle. This is the age of free enterprise, and it calls
for competition. It does not call for control.
We have never done it right in this country. Even our refineries, in
spite of the good it did in the past, are wilting under what everyone
knows as government fiat and corruption. NEPA went through similar rut
and wrapped us around with a web of darkness. To resolve it, we have had
to go through a ponderous rigmarole of dismantling. We are seeing what
that is causing us today with the fingers of government corruption writ
large in the GENCOs and DISCOs.
Ahmed Joda is a familiar name in Nigerian bureaucracy. He was a
permanent secretary when that position had the force of a bullet. Like
Allison Ayida, he was called a super permanent secretary. So it was
expected that he knew about the Nigerian civil service as much as
anyone. But he worked in a different generation, in what I would call an
antediluvian time of our government. His choice by PMB to head the
transition committee was informed by experience but not imagination.
The world has leapt past the range of the man, and his recommendation
of merger may be a reflection of his ancient train of thought. I hope
he redeems that perception by more sophisticated recommendations to the
Buhari administration. This is a world of free enterprise, not of
monopolistic domination.
Instead of calling for a single carrier, it should call for an
enabling environment for the carriers to operate. One of the drawbacks
for the airline industry is the financial predation of the banks.
Airlines everywhere are heavy investments, and banks should not be made
to impose interest rates at such high levels. In fact, this is not
restricted to the airlines. It is the hobgoblin of Nigerian business.
Small businesses have been suffocated while large ones lumber along.
To ask them to collapse under a new sort of Nigeria Airways will
attract tremendous taxpayer’s money and it will be a gamble. This is no
time for gamble. Another thing: governments should realise that
airlines, like many international businesses, groan under the present
foreign exchange rate. It now goes for a dollar to about N240. This
calls for caution.
If the airlines are to merge, they should do it on their own terms.
Forcing the marriage as they did with the banks is the wrong way to go.
The bank mergers have eventually worked at tremendous costs. But it is a
market that also offers variety. A single carrier would create a
government misnomer. That is, a government will be held responsible for
monopolistic practices. The United States president Theodore Roosevelt
fought this against big business men like John D. Rockefeller because he
knew the government had no stain on its shirt. He even fought with the
financiers of his candidacy. He was a Republican and his main opponents
were in his party. He risked their alienation to uphold a just cause.
This was about a hundred years ago.
The Nigerian government should not be seen to pursue such anomaly
when the world, through laws and conventions, are backing away because
of its moral wrong. Marriages, however, should be by consent.
“A marriage is not a word,” crooned Oscar Wilde. “It is a sentence.” A
forced one will be a death sentence for the airline industry again.
The Daily Times is an opposite of the Nigeria Airways
narrative. It prospered without government interference until the Owu
chief came. As military head of state, Gen. Olusegun Obasanjo clipped
the wings of the great newspaper, and its decline and fall became
inevitable.
The British Airways is the model for Nigeria’s peacock class today.
But it used to be a conglomerate of sorts under government control. The
owners knew it was not sustainable, so they privatised it. That
unleashed its mammoth potential for profit. Nigeria is one of their
great customers although they give us the least of their fleet.
We need to open the door for our airlines to bloom, and not clip the
wings as we did that of the Daily Times and the Nigeria Airways.
We don’t want our airline industry to fulfill the myth of Daedalus
and Icarus. The story of Daedalus, the father, and Icarus, the son, have
become classics about misplaced ambition. Daedalus warned his son
Icarus not to fly too close to the sun in the wings he made for him. It
was made of wax. But Icarus disobeyed, and flew too high. He crashed
because the sun melted the wax.
Metaphorically, our planes are flying in bad weather, with clouds of
hard finance and suffocating winds of official interference. Right now
they would like to fulfil the famous quote from John Webster’s play, The
Duchess of Malfi, where a character says, “Black birds fatten in hard
weather.” But they are failing up there. The second coming of the
Nigeria Airways may smear the clouds. We do not want blood in our skies.
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